Crude oil rebounds 1.2% due to the risk of conflict and energy paralysis

Published at: 06/04/2026 09:45 AM

Global energy markets reacted with volatility on Monday following recent statements by US President Donald Trump addressed to the government of Iran. The warning of possible retaliation against strategic civilian infrastructure, including power plants and bridges, has intensified fears of military escalation in the region.

This tension arises as a direct response to the paralysis in the Strait of Hormuz, whose immediate reopening has been set as a non-negotiable condition by the Washington administration.

As a direct result of this rhetoric, the price of Brent crude oil registered an increase of 1.2%, standing at $110.29 per barrel. The investment community has increased its perception of risk in the face of the possibility of reciprocal attacks affecting oil facilities in the Gulf states.

An interruption of this magnitude in the global energy flow would not only affect export prices, but would compromise supply stability in the main centers of global consumption.

Despite the belligerent tone, nervousness in financial markets has been partially contained by a current of diplomatic optimism. Major stock indices avoided major declines thanks to leaked reports suggesting intense behind-the-scenes efforts to avoid a full-scale conflict.

The possibility of a negotiated exit has served as a counterbalance to uncertainty, keeping operators in a cautious stance waiting for official confirmations about the direction of the talks.

According to sources cited by Reuters, regional mediators and representatives of the United States are discussing the terms of a 45-day truce. The main objective of this temporary ceasefire would be to reduce hostilities and lay the groundwork for a permanent peace agreement in the region.

The success of these diplomatic efforts will be decisive in the coming days to define whether the price of oil begins a phase of stabilization or if, on the contrary, it continues its upward trend under the shadow of an armed conflict.

Mazo News Team